Wednesday, April 17, 2013

More gay marriage predictions

I have already blogged about the American front for gay rights, but what about internationally?

Today New Zealand has taken a gigantic step for equality and approved gay marriage, which means gay marriage is now legal in 12 countries and in parts of three others. 243,000,000 people (rounded to the nearest million) live in countries where gay marriage is legal currently, or 3 percent of the world's population. The most populous country to have gay rights is South Africa at 52,000,000 people, and the least populous is Iceland at just over 300,000. Mexico is larger than South Africa, but gay marriage can only be performed in certain jurisdictions, so it isn't equal to the others. Since 2010 began 5 more countries have approved gay marriage. I expect the next few year swill see a few more countries legalize gay marriage, most likely some of the following:

  1. Andorra has proposed gay marriage/
  2. Cambodia has allowed a few gay couples to legally marry, whether this will turn into legislation is unknown.
  3. Chile has pending legislation to legalize gay marriage.
  4. Colombia's court has ordered that gay marriage must be legalized soon.
  5. Finland's government has immense pressure from the people to legalize gay marriage, and I expect they will legalize it in the next few years.
  6. France will almost certainly have gay marriage in the next few months.
  7. Germany will legalize gay marriage if not this year than after Merkel's government is hopefully defeated.
  8. Ireland will legalize gay marriage soon.
  9. Luxembourg intends to leglalize gay marriage
  10. Nepal will likely approve gay marriage in the near future but is currently stalled.
  11. The United Kingdom will legalize gay marriage soon.
  12. Uruguay will almost certainly legalize gay marriage this year with a promised signature from the President.
  13. The United States Supreme Court will probably require states to recognize gay marriages soon, if they follow previous decisions.
  14. Vietnam is moving towards gay marriage, albeit slowly.
A few other countries are likely to approve gay marriage in the near future based off of their other freedoms.
  1. Austria has potential.
  2. Czech Republic
  3. Estonia has proposed civil unions.
  4. Liechtenstein
  5. Philippines
  6. Switzerland
If the countries I outline above approve gay marriage, than 1.3 billion people will live in countries where gay marriage is legal or performed or recognized. The future is bright for gay marriage.

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