Showing posts with label stimulus packages. Show all posts
Showing posts with label stimulus packages. Show all posts

Monday, May 3, 2010

Eggs

The Economy and EGGS
By: Matthew Stidham
Part 1: Recession
Overview
The economy is in trouble, there is not enough money flowing through the economy.

The eggs are in trouble, they need more salt.

The economy needs more money.

The eggs need salt to be added.

What Will Happen:

The eggs will get more salt.

The economy will not get the money it needs and will continue to slow down because people don't know how recessions work.

What Should Happen:

The eggs should get more salt.

The economy should get more money flowing which will speed it up getting it back to equilibrium.

Who will do it:
The people who eat the eggs will add salt.

The people who are part of the economy will not know how money flows. They won't understand that if everyone starts spending like they used to money will flow and everybody who works will get money back. That means that the problem of money not flowing will not be fixed. However, this requires a majority of the people in the economy to do this, which if they don't know how it works, won't be done.

If the people don't, assume the banks won't offer loans because they won't expect jobless people to be able to pay them back, or if they do will be at high interest rates, and companies won't expand because they won't expect people to buy their product. Those are 3 out of the 4 sectors of the economy. The only one left is government. If the government doesn't keep the economy running, no one else will because the people who do know how it works will be betting on most people not understanding, which will make them not spend, which will exacerbate the problem as happened from 1929 to 1933.

Part 2: Overgrowth
Overview
The economy is booming, people and businesses are overspending.

The eggs are too salty.

The economy has to slow down and have less money be transferred every day.

The eggs need to either have the salt be removed or the eggs remade.

What Will Happen:
People will through away the eggs and make new eggs.

The economy will get even more money flowing through it until so many people, banks, and businesses will have loaned money out that very few will get their money back, which will mean that everyone will all pull back which will slow down the economy dramatically, which will lower stock prices causing people to panic, which will continue to exacerbate the problem, causing a recession.

What Should Happen:

People will through away the eggs and make new eggs.

People should stop overspending which means the economy will slow down so that the problem of spinning out of control doesn't happen and people won't lose their life savings on debt. This would also mean that there wouldn't be a period of three months to four or more years where the economy isn't working how it should.

Who will do it:
Unless if the salt can be scraped off, the person eating the eggs will remake them.

The people will not slow down and stop borrowing and purchasing because they are making so much money per year. The businesses won't stop expanding because they are making record profits, which will mean that they will make too much product or have too many stores which means that they will have to drastically pull back or go bankrupt which in the case of a large company will put thousands of people out of work, exacerbating unemployment. Banks won't stop lending because they will be making billions of dollars of interest. 3 out of the 4 sectors will not be thinking in long term, as has happened at least twice before. Again, there is only one part of the economy to make sure that the economy doesn't spin out of control, and that is government, which can slow the economy down with sales taxes or temporary limits on borrowing, which will be unpopular, but necessary.

Conclusion
The Same Principles That Apply to Eggs Also Apply to the Economy.

Sunday, March 7, 2010

Why passing a stimulus package in a recession is a good idea.

There is a lot of talk on Capital Hill about passing another stimulus package. Many Republicans are saying that the first stimulus package was a bad idea, and they are looking in the 4th dimension. In order to be a true leader you need to see in the 5th dimension.

Dimensions. The first dimension is a line with no thickness. The second dimension has vertical and horizontal axes. The third dimension is what we see with our eyes, vertical, horizontal, and depth. The fourth dimension is time. The fifth dimension is parallel universes, or what would happen if something didn't happen.

Many people on the conservative right say that we need to allow leaders of companies to have their companies fail if they do economically risky things. This is an extremely capitalist viewpoint. They forget that who the burden really falls if the company, be it Chase, Bank of America, Washington Mutual, US Bank, Ford, Chrysler, Dodge, General Motors, etc., fails. It fails on the millions of workers who work for those companies. The 7 car manufacturers I mentioned employ 390,200 people in America which would be a huge hit to the economy. The 3 banks I mentioned that still exist hold $4.6 trillion that would then have to be spent by the federal government to make sure that their customers keep their life savings. It is scary to think of the Federal Government spending $4.6 trillion in one year making sure that people don't lose their life savings as opposed to spending no more than $1 trillion in order to avoid spending $3.6 trillion dollars more (more than the annual budget) to make sure people have money to live.

Another thing, the GDP of America decreased from 1929 to 1933 when the government under Herbert Hoover's administration did nothing. Hoover could have proposed to Congress to stimulate the economy, but he didn't. In 1933 President Roosevelt proposed a stimulus (New Deal) to bring us out of the depression, which it did.

Food for thought: Where would America have got the money in 1933 to go to war? How did America have enough to go to war in 1941 without running trillion dollar 1940s dollars deficits as opposed to the much smaller amount in 1941-1945?