How the Democrats will win

We have another year until the next election for Congress kicks off, so now is the time for the Democratic party to build an honorable track record to defeat the Republicans next year. The Democrats need to pick up 17 seats and lose none in order to win. They need to play strong defense and specific offense in districts that are at risk with people who have good strong legislative track records at the state level to beat the Republicans.

The following seats and Congresspeople are at risk, according to the election rankings and Cook PVI (Any PVI Republican of 5 or less, or any Democratic PVI that has a Republican representative):

1. Arizona's 1st district
2. Arizona's 2nd district
3. California's 7th district
4. California's 10th district
5. California's 21st district
6. California's 25th district
7. California's 31st district
8. California's 36th district
9. California's 49th district
10. Colorado's 3rd district
11. Colorado's 6th district
12. Florida's 2nd district
13. Florida's 7th district
14. Florida's 10th district
15. Florida's 13th district
16. Illinois' 6th district
17. Illinois' 13th district
18. Illinois' 16th district
19. Indiana's 2nd district
20. Iowa's 3rd district
21. Kansas' 3rd district
22. Kentucky's 6th district
23. Michigan's 1st district
24. Michigan's 3rd district
25. Michigan's 4th district
26. Michigan's 6th district
27. Michigan's 7th district
28. Michigan's 8th district
29. Michigan's 10th district
30. Michigan's 11th district
31. Minnesota's 1st district
32. Minnesota's 2nd district
33. Minnesota's 3rd district
34. Minnesota's 6th district
35. Nevada's 2nd district
36. Nevada's 3rd district
37. New Jersey's 2nd district
38. New Jersey's 3rd district
39. New Jersey's 5th district
40. New Jersey's 11th district
41. New York's 2nd district
42. New York's 11th district
43. New York's 19th district
44. New York's 21st district
45. New York's 22nd district
46. New York's 23rd district
47. New York's 27th district
48. Ohio's 10th district
49. Ohio's 14th district
50. Ohio's 16th district
51. Pennsylvania's 3rd district
52. Pennsylvania's 6th district
53. Pennsylvania's 7th district
54. Pennsylvania's 8th district
55. Pennsylvania's 15th district
56. Virginia's 2nd district
57. Virginia's 10th district
58. Washington's 3rd district
59. Washington's 8th district
60. Wisconsin's 1st district
61. Wisconsin's 6th district
62. Wisconsin's 7th district
63. Wisconsin's 8th district

The following seats are potentially at risk for the Democrats assuming that third parties don't run because of our voting system, these are seats where Democrats won but got less than 52% of the vote:

1. Arizona 1
2. Arizona 2
3. Arizona 9
4. California 7
5. California 36
6. California 52
7. Connecticut 5
8. Florida 18
9. Illinois 10
10. Massachusetts 6
11. Nebraska 2
12. Nevada 4
13. New Hampshire 1
14. New Hampshire 2
15. New York 18
16. New York 21
17. North Carolina 7
18. Pennsylvania 12
19. Utah 4

Basically, the next election looks really good for Democrats. If both parties lose their close seats, than the Democrats will be up 44 seats. This is due to a lot of very close districts for the Republicans. Given that the Republicans follow Democrats in most polls, it is likely that the next election could be very good for Democrats, Hispanics, and gays.