Monday, March 10, 2014

We've seen these Russian elections before

Putin is going to say that he will leave it to the people of Crimea to decide whether they want to join Russia. There are two problems with this:
  1. Putin has used this strategy before in Abkhazia and South Ossetia, and he did this after deporting all of the ethnic Georgians in these areas. If he does the same thing as Crimea there is no question how they will vote.
  2. Russia has a reputation of getting very results on their elections, by having ballot stuffing, harassment, and other issues which are widely reported on. I see no reason to believe this will be any different.
The  election will be a sham and everyone knows it, it is an old Communist tradition of having "elections" where you always know who will win. China and North Korea use these and the USSR did, and the elections in Russia look more like the old Soviet elections every year. Since there will almost certainly be no EU or UN observers (except of course the Russian observers) there can be no doubt who will win the election, regardless of what the people in Crimea want.

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